Category: Macroeconomics

  • Fitch keeps the Brazilian credit rating at BB, with negative outlook

    Fitch Ratings reinforced Brazil’s credit rating on ‘BB’, with a negative outlook. That is, with the possibility of the classification being revised downwards in the future.According to the agency, the country’s ratings is limited by the structural weaknesses in public finances and high government debt, weak growth prospects and weaker governance indicators than the country’s…

  • Funding of Brazilian companies with debt and equity jumps to R$ 192 billion (US$ 60 bi)

    The wind begins to shift to the capital market in the wake of falling interest rates to near historic lows and the contraction of bank credit after two years of deep recession. Since last year, the favorable environment has opened space and consolidates a trend of strong growth for corporate debt issues, along with capital…

  • Should you buy Brazilian stocks right now?

    Brazil is in a very binary situation right now and that’s bringing huge volatility. Brazil’s current crisis is a fiscal one. That’s what caused the huge drop up until 2015. The labor party added a lot to the social networking in its 12 years in power and did not do the reforms the country needs,…

  • Brazil is out of recession. But should you buy it?

    President Michel Temer and economic ministers will celebrate the growth of 1% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the first quarter of this year, compared to Q4 of 2016, excluding seasonal factors. When they do this, they will actually be celebrating the growth of agriculture and foreign demand (exports). Domestic demand – household consumption…

  • Foreign direct investment in infrastructure grew more than 500%

    Foreign capital inflows into infrastructure activities in Brazil grew more than 500% in the first four months of this year compared to the same period in 2016, reaching a mark of US$ 11.4 billion. The flow represents more than 50% of direct investment in the country for capital participation operations registered by the Central Bank…

  • Brazilian Government Announces Economic Package with 12 Measures

    President Michel Temer announced on Thursday (15) a new economic package with measures to stimulate the economy. Also taking part in the announcement were the house or representative’s president, Rodrigo Maia (DEM-RJ), Senate’s President Renan Calheiros (PMDB-AL), Finance Minister Henrique Meirelles and the Minister of Planning, Dyogo Oliveira. Temer started the announcement saying that the…

  • Brazilian Economy shrinks 0.51% in May, according to the Central Bank

    The Brazilian economy has not confirmed the brief improvement in April. The Economic Activity Index Central Bank (IBC-Br) fell 0.51% in May, after growing 0.07% in April (revised), which was the first increase in 15 months. In the year, the decline was a significant 5.79%. In the 12 months ending in May, the IBC-Br indicates…

  • EWZ: Ibovespa has its best semester since 2009 and US$ drops 18.6% versus the Brazilian Real

    Brazilian’s most traded stock ETF in the US, EWZ soared 46.5% in the same 6 months: In the beginning of the year, the perspective for the Brazilian market was not good with the country in recession and inflation sky rocketing. However, in the middle of February, the inflection started fueled by a global recover in…

  • Brazilian Retail Sales up 0.5% MoM in April

    Brazilian retail sales volume in April increased 0.5% MoM but fell 6.7% YoY, both worse than market expectations, according to IBGE (Brazilian Institute for Geography and Statistics). Although in the monthly comparison, most of the sectors have recorded an increase, it was not enough to reverse the downwards trajectory, still visible in the annual comparison…

  • Brazilian Steel Industry in Survival mode for the Foreseeable Future

    The Brazilian steel industry has seem better days. If we look at the three stocks traded as ADRs in the NYSE, we can see the depth of their agony in the last ten years: Gerdau (NYSE:GGB): Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional – CSN (NYSE:SID): Usiminas (OTC:USNZY): In the 27th Brazilian Steel Congress, held by the Brazil Steel…

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